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An original account of willful ignorance and how this principle relates to modern probability and statistical methods Through a series of colorful stories about great thinkers and the problems they chose to solve, the author traces the historical evolution of probability and explains how statistical methods have helped to propel scientific research. However, the past success of statistics has depended on vast, deliberate simplifications amounting to willful ignorance, and this very success now threatens future advances in medicine, the social sciences, and other fields. Limitations of existing methods result in frequent reversals of scientific findings and recommendations, to the consternation of both scientists and the lay public. Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty exposes the fallacy of regarding probability as the full measure of our uncertainty. The book explains how statistical methodology, though enormously productive and influential over the past century, is approaching a crisis. The deep and troubling divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research, and between research and practice, are reflections of this underlying problem. The author outlines a path toward the re-engineering of data analysis to help close these gaps and accelerate scientific discovery. Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty presents essential information and novel ideas that should be of interest to anyone concerned about the future of scientific research. The book is especially pertinent for professionals in statistics and related fields, including practicing and research clinicians, biomedical and social science researchers, business leaders, and policy-makers.

This concise, practical guide gives you the strategies you need to confidently protect and strengthen your financial holdings during troubled economic times. Through 76 smart tips, you’ll discover how to reduce your investment risk, safely accumulate wealth, and determine how much you’ll need for retirement, and how to get there. With tips for everything from improving your credit score to investing through a Tax-Free Savings Account to preparing for financial emergencies, you’ll be on the right track toward a safe and sound financial future, no matter what the economic climate. “[76 Tips For Investing in an Uncertain Economy For Canadians For Dummies] will be an arms-length away at my desk at the National Post, for handy reference.” John Chevreau, The National Post

An investing story that provides insights into dealing with your money and finding financial security Making the right investment decisions and executing an effective financial plan can be difficult, especially in today’s markets. But with the right guidance you can achieve this goal. Now, in The Story of Rich, leading wealth manager John David “J.D.” Joyce shows you how. Based on his real-world experiences with investors throughout his successful career, this book offers meaningful advice about financial planning and investing. Designed for those with significant assets who are nearing or recently retired, as well as individuals who have recently come into new money through business or inheritance, The Story of Rich skillfully explains financial planning and investing through a fable of a man who sells a business he’s worked so hard to build, and now finds himself with more money then he’s ever had to deal with. Along the way, this book teaches you about important investment concepts and presents you with tools to consider your options and choose an appropriate investment strategy. Chronicles the fictional story of a recently retired businessman who is worried about making the most of his money now that he's no longer generating regular income Presents lessons about investing, sometimes through comparisons to topics like marathon running or wine making, in the quest to make sense of fundamental investment concepts Author John David “J.D.” Joyce has been named a Top Financial Advisor by Barron’s in 2009, 2010 and 2011 Engaging and informative, The Story of Rich is the perfect guide for those concerned about protecting their hard-earned money and investing it wisely.

A new book to help senior executives and boards get smart about risk management The ability of businesses to survive and thrive often requires unconventional thinking and calculated risk taking. The key is to make the right decisions—even under the most risky, uncertain, and turbulent conditions. In the new book, Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty: Creating the Risk Intelligent Enterprise, authors Rick Funston and Steve Wagner suggest that effective risk taking is needed in order to innovate, stay competitive, and drive value creation. Based on their combined decades of experience as practitioners, consultants, and advisors to numerous business professionals throughout the world, Funston and Wagner discuss the adoption of 10 essential and practical skills, which will improve agility, resilience, and realize benefits: Challenging basic business assumptions can help identify «Black Swans» and provide first-mover advantage Defining the corporate risk appetite and risk tolerances can help reduce the risk of ruin. Anticipating potential causes of failure can improve chances of survival and success through improved preparedness. Factoring in velocity and momentum can improve speed of response and recovery. Verifying sources and the reliability of information can improve insights for decision making and thus decision quality. Taking a longer-term perspective can aid in identifying the potential unintended consequences of short-term decisions.